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« Calling it: Mann will become new County Councilman
BREAKING! Bellingham City Council may consider also taking banked capacity for property taxes »

If my math is correct …

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November 6th, 2009 7 PM PST by Sam Taylor - The Bellingham Herald

Between Thursday’s count and Friday’s count, Kathy Kershner earned 53.9 percent of the votes that were tallied by the Whatcom County Auditor’s Office. *UPDATE* - Hypothetically, Dan McShane would need 52.6 percent of the potentially-remaining ballots in order to get back over the top of Kershner, so the fact that his stat is 1.3 percent below Kershner’s trend doesn’t bode well.

… Mary Beth Teigrob took 52.8 percent of the Thursday to Friday count. She needs 76.6 percent of the potentially-remaining ballots to overcome Mann, therefore I’m calling the race because the gap between them is large.

… Michelle Luke took 52.5 percent and needs more than 70 percent of the remaining ballots as well to overtake Weimer. However, their margin is slimmer than Teigrob and Mann, so to be better safe than sorry this is a wait and see for me. Monday’s count should make it definitive.

… Bill Knutzen took 65.6 percent. And this race has already been called.

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Copyright 2009 The Bellingham Herald. All Rights Reserved.

44 Responses to “If my math is correct …”

  1. Roaring Lion Says:
    November 6th, 2009 at 9:55 PM

    ST,
    The race has, sadly, indeed been called but you math is bad . . . “… Bill Knutzen took 65.6 percent. And this race has already been called.”

    WHATCOM CO COUNCIL - AT LARGE
    120/120 100.00%
    Vote Count Percent
    NP - Bill Knutzen 27,916 53.49%
    NP - Laurie Caskey-Schreiber 24,278 46.51%
    Total 52,194 100.00%

  2. Roaring Lion Says:
    November 6th, 2009 at 9:58 PM

    but YOUR math is . . . .
    but YOUR math is . . . .
    but YOUR math is . . . .
    but YOUR math is . . . .
    but YOUR math is . . . .
    but YOUR math is . . . .
    Is that enough teacher?

  3. Sean Hanity Says:
    November 6th, 2009 at 11:13 PM

    Um, Lion…

    I think ST meant 65.6 of the most recently added box of votes, not 65.6% of the entire election.
    .

  4. Sam Taylor Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 12:19 AM

    Lion, I don’t think you read my post very closely. I’m talking about the vote tally from Thursday to Friday. Of the new votes between those two days, Knutzen took 65.6 percent of the votes.

  5. BhamBill Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 10:19 AM

    Hey, Sam! A lowlife spammer slithered out from under its rock in the middle of the night:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/6510084/Indoor-plants-could-save-your-life.html

  6. BhamBill Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 10:25 AM

    OOPS! I pasted the wrong link…sorry about that!

    Here’s the SPAMMER:

    infp2009 Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 2:08 am
    Want to know more news chick here
    http://www.footwearclothes.com
    MSN:
    footwearclothes@hotmail.com

  7. Betsy Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 10:50 AM

    Sam,
    Just want to thank you for your really fair and honest treatment of the “political scene” here in Whatcom Co. You are a stand up guy and we appreciate you and your work!
    Keep THEM honest!!

  8. elisabeth Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 2:38 PM

    Close, but a little off. Email your favorite source, He can teach you how to do the math.

  9. Sam Taylor Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 4:20 PM

    I’ve taken care of the spam posts. It’s a rare thing when one gets through the rather heft spam blocker on this here blog.

  10. Sam Taylor Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 4:20 PM

    Betsy, I appreciate the kudos and I appreciate most of all your participation here in our little conversations!

  11. Sam Taylor Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 4:24 PM

    Elisabeth, I don’t know who my favorite source is … but I actually did check this math with people smarter than me as well who confirmed it.

  12. Jurgen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 11:09 AM

    So now we’re going to once more take a stand against a woman’s rights to control her own bodiy through the guise of the new Health Plan. 64 stupid Democrats joined the lunatics of the GOP to ensure that we take steps back in civil rights rather than go forward. We now have it ingrained in our health plan to listen to the self righteous lunacy of the born again without much common sense. Our state will simply have to offer it’s women it’s own small health care plan to ensure a woman’s right to choose when to have children –if at all. The Catholic and other churches have been too far up the skirts of American women for far too long.

  13. Betsy Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 3:35 PM

    THANKFULLY, Jurgen, THANKFULLY, American men AND women are realizing that murdering a tiny baby is NOT the answer to an unplanned pregnancy!! THANKFULLY, the (murder/abortion) rates are dropping…FAST…in this country!!! THANKFULLY, young women are becoming more and more sickened at the idea of murdering an innocent little one who had NOTHING to do with their mother’s “choices”, and more and more women are making the incredibly selfless CHOICE to make an adoption plan for their child.
    THANK GOD that YOUR lack of respect for human life isn’t the “choice” most women are making these days!!!

  14. AFY Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 4:45 PM

    Here a headline idea for Monday if the Kathy/Dan trend continues:

    McShane Machine runs out of Gas!

    AFY!!thesheepdog!!!

  15. Sean Hanity Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 6:07 PM

    Wow whillickers, Jurgen and Betsy !

    You both miss the point. Conceptions do not happen by accident. There needs to be a push by evangelicals and secularists and everyone throughout our communities to keep our young people informed and educated. There should be hardly a fraction of the unwanted conceptions that are occuring.

    Conceptions don’t happen when someone coughs at you on the bus. These are not “unforseen circumstances”. Trying to shape this problem based on what to do when a young pregnant woman does not wish to have a child, is much too late in the process. The cows are out of the barn already.

    I tend to think that out-of-bounds hikers should pay for the search and rescue efforts that are incurred when they get stuck. But the real solution is to better compel people to not go out of bounds.
    .

  16. Jurgen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 6:23 PM

    Sean and Betsy, thanks for the psycho talk, you should go on the Ed show

  17. Jurgen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 6:25 PM

    Sean and Betsy, thanks for the psycho talk, you should go on the Ed show. The subject is health care and as long as it’s legal then gov’t health care should include it. Period. It isn’t a bun until it comes out of the oven at the end of the timer. Otherwise it’s just dough.

  18. AFY Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 6:39 PM

    Jurgen sounds like he has the same opinion of life as the guys who came up with “Die Endlosung”.

    I believe in choice for the mother, I don’t think throwing people in jail because of abortions is going to solve anyone problems.

    Government should not be promoting or paying for abortions, and the partial birth type of abortion appears to go too far, and tends to fall into Jurgen’s “Die Endlosung” opinions!

    AFY!!thesheepdog!!!

  19. Sean Hanity Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 9:39 PM

    Hey Jurgen,
    AFY has the mainstream view. Just because something isn’t criminal, doesn’t mean the public should pay for it to happen.

    Cosmetic plastic surgery is legal, but public healthcare shouldn’t pay for that, either. If it doesn’t save your life or make you particularily more healthy, then it is elective surgery. It is a moot argument before you even get to the argument about “when life begins”.
    .

  20. Jurgen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 10:17 PM

    Oh please, what are you guys on?

  21. Apexnerd Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 10:35 AM

    Sam Taylor Says:
    November 7th, 2009 at 4:20 pm

    I’ve taken care of the spam posts. It’s a rare thing when one gets through the rather heft spam blocker on this here blog.

    Thank you, Sam.

  22. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 10:51 AM

    The public should pay for all health needs of the population. A woman seeking to exercise her rights is just one more health problem, especially if it involves a threat to her life or for whatever reason the woman chooses. These decisions by women are not made as cavalierly as the know it all males who hold the robe ties of the church seem to think. Nor are they as frequent as the hysterics would have us think. Some seem to want to punish the teens and keep pushing the tired old non working horse of abstinence. What do you want, a penalty on sex– like a tax ? Actually that’s probably a good idea, Men would lie about the frequency and the coffers would be full even if the wives were still waiting for the benefits. Sorry for the joke. This is a serious subject even if I consider it a no-brainer, it will require convincing some of the so-called loyal opposition. Since their loyalties seem be be mostly with the insurance industry, we are once more about to get shagged by the Republicans acting as strap ons for the insurance industry. Too bad they don’t have to pay the tax every time the have their way with us. Frankly I’m fed up with the two party system. Parliaments may be a bit more raucous, but why is it that all of the countries in the world who are seriously advanced on social issues, unlike here–have Parliaments, not just two parties with a monopoly who aren’t that much different when it comes to dancing for the pipers, the corporatocracy and the church.

  23. citizen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 10:55 AM

    Good post Jurgen.
    Arguing with righties is like herding slugs.

  24. Apexnerd Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 11:20 AM

    citizen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 10:55 am

    Good post Jurgen.
    Arguing with righties is like herding slugs.

    I must respectfully disagree with you there, citizen.

    You can make slugs go away with a little salt.

  25. Apexnerd Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 11:23 AM

    Jurgen Says:
    November 8th, 2009 at 10:17 pm

    Oh please, what are you guys on?

    Sadly, Jurgen, the only thing they are on… is the internet. They are sober as judges.

    The rest of us may have to begin drinking liberally.

  26. DJGray Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 11:44 AM

    > The public should pay for all health needs of the population.

    Because… ??

  27. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 12:06 PM

    Because it’s the right thing to do. Life, liberty and happiness cannot be pursued when you are ill and being destroyed financially by a system that leaves you to deal with the effects of pollution in the air or water or food supply on your own. Also, Because if we truly are the greatest country on earth, then our position can’t possibly be solidified by millions of poor and homeless dying on the streets or in local wood borders from easily cured diseases and health conditions. A CIVILIZED COUNTRY WORTH NOTING DOES NOT DUMP IT’S MENTALLY ILL ON THE STREETS BECAUSE THE REST OF US DON’T WANT THE PRICE OF CARE TO CUT INTO OUR LEISURE BUDGET. IT’S A NO BRAINER, UNLESS YOU LACK HUMAN COMPASSION OR ECONOMIC SENSE.

  28. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 1:25 PM

    I think that people should write checks for most medical care, just as they do for any other good or service, and that they should be free to purchase insurance for catastrophe as they do for any other insurable risk.

    If a woman wants an abortion, and if it’s legal in the state in which she resides, she should be free to pay out-of-pocket for it to someone who is willing to perform the procedure, just as she would if she wanted Lasik or plastic surger.

  29. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 1:28 PM

    Comparing the need for abortion to save the life of the mother is hardly comparable to Lasik surgery. And what if she is broke and out of work like 47% of those under 26 right now? I mean what do you guys use for blood in your veins? Is it cold or warm?

  30. DJGray Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 1:43 PM

    > Because it’s the right thing to do.

    Why? Simply because you say so? That dog won’t hunt.

    > Life, liberty and happiness cannot be pursued when you are ill and being destroyed financially

    Of course it can. You can pursue it to your heart’s content, or discontent. Pursuit is no guarantee of a capture.

    > Comparing the need for abortion to save the life of the mother is hardly comparable to Lasik surgery.

    Even though this wasn’t directed at me, I’ll agree with you. Given that less than 1% occur for this reason, the comparison is valid.

    > I mean what do you guys use for blood in your veins?

    Personally, I use blood. And asking an ad-homonym question like that is analogous to someone asking you what you use for logic in your brain. Not a real kind question, is it?

  31. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 2:48 PM

    How does one respond to such illogical arguments without seeming insulting? Are you guys locals or just part of the GOP drone force?

  32. citizen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 3:12 PM

    Head em up!
    Move em out!

  33. AFY Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 3:17 PM

    When some people can not win an argument they can always insult those who are and thus demostrate why some people can never find the truth or a fair solution to any problem!

    However they can just continue to wallow in their narrow mindedness!!

    AFY!!thesheepdog!!!

  34. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 3:31 PM

    IF YOU THINK YOU ARE WINNING SOME CONVERSATION YOU SEEM TO BE HAVING WITH YOURSELF, WELL “ONE FLEW EAST AND ONE FLEW WEST AND ONE FLEW OVER……….”

  35. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 3:32 PM

    Jurgen
    “And what if she is broke and out of work like 47% of those under 26 right now? ”

    Medicaid.
    No problem.
    I didn’t say we should eliminate Medicaid.

  36. citizen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 4:16 PM

    How do you win a political argument?
    Link to YouTube
    or feign insult.

  37. AFY Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 4:21 PM

    Don’t forget PJTV!!

    http://www.pjtv.com/?cmd=video&video-id=2668

    AFY!!thesheepdog!!!

  38. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 5:01 PM

    I really like Whittle’s stuff.

  39. Jurgen Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 5:30 PM

    So it’s OK for Medicaid to be used for abortions? Can I quote you? And if so, what’s wrong with it being paid for in a government run public option. Oh, and by the way, the Hyde Amendment may have a say also, don’t ya think? Or did you just lose the string of the conversation? Dang nabbed short attention spans–a national pandemic….

  40. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 5:45 PM

    This is all off-topic, and I’m not going to be yelled at by you. Looking back, you changed the premise to, “to save the life of the mother”, when that was not in your original comment.

  41. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 6:10 PM

    Jurgen,
    You wrote, “Oh, and by the way, the Hyde Amendment may have a say also, don’t ya think? Or did you just lose the string of the conversation? Dang nabbed …”

    Do you always go off half-cocked?
    Please read this:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyde_Amendment

    Take care to read this line, in paragraph 2, under “State Actions”:
    “The cutoff of federal Medicaid funds prompted some states to provide public funding for abortion services from their own coffers.”

    After you’ve read it, please refer to the map.
    Washington is among the bluest of states, in more ways than one.

  42. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 6:23 PM

    Jurgen,
    On your way to paragraph 2, read paragraph 1 carefully: “The original measure made no exceptions for rape, incest, or the life of the pregnant woman, provoking an outcry from women’s rights advocates. As a result, beginning in 1977 language was added to provide for such circumstances; however, the exact wording has varied from one year to the next, subject to the outcome of Congressional bargaining on the issue.” (Italics mine.)

  43. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 7:44 PM

    and Jurgen,
    I’m for the rule of law.

  44. Davesix Says:
    November 9th, 2009 at 11:07 PM

    No reply?
    Sheesh!

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